Analyzing the metrics and optics of our geo-political issues regionally and globally that are effecting the trans-atlantic nations.
Translate
Monday, December 9, 2013
Global Ripple Effects : SouthEast Asian Dominoes Falling Down
Regardless of the $2.7 T(trillion) cost in healthcare, the $17 T debt, $95 T unfunded liability, the debt ceiling issue returning in February again, rising food and oil prices, loss of industrial-manufacturing , loss of jobs ; the real threat to the USA is its loss as the worlds reserve currency set by Bretton Woods after world war II with the aid of the US, Britain and World Bank; the International Monetary Fund was created from that. The currency itself backed by gold could lend to war torn countries and developing nations alike. Recently, what may have become a real problem was overestimating the economy getting off the gold standard and over printing money creating a fiat economy. Fiat money(credit, debt, loans, grants, corporate welfare). The U.S. has sold its debt as Treasury Bonds to China, Japan and Europe , but there is the real threat of a T-Bond "bubble" bursting in the middle of the current global economic meltdown . China , the 2nd largest economy that can accommodate productivity for a fraction of costs is spreading its own wings and testing the waters not only economically , but militarily. Most National revolutions and World Wars were created not because of a military event(i.e. assassination, a ship being fired upon etc...), but , rather when the international banks demand to seize a sovereign nations assets when the payments on their loans can not be met. The collateral for those arrangements become property, worker productivity and virtually all real goods. If the Treasury Bond market does burst, we will see this possibly happening(it may have already). China's saber rattling is very loud as the behemoth nation of 1.4 billion has to feed its people, create jobs and compete in a world economy . Energy becomes the most important commodity in everyday life especially for growth. The only way a country can meet its nations expectation with limited resources is similar to what the 3rd Reich did with a policy known as Lebensraum or increasing "living space".
China's Lebensraum:
EXAMPLE # 1)China's extension of a Defense Zone beyond 400 miles of its international waters. The East China Sea zone now cuts into it's neighbors airspace. This is a bold affront to Japan and South Korea . China's Navy and Air force have copied US naval air carriers and F 35s down to every detail and are willing to show case them in the Artic and Mediterranean as we've recently seen. If that's not enough the Chinese and Japanese are locked in a battle between islands that have been considered Japanese sovereignty , but the Chinese say they are theirs. Both have sent gun boats to patrol the islands which are reported to be wealthy in minerals and petroleum.
EXAMPLE #2 ) China is also laying claim to another set of islands that is currently held by the Philippines, known as the Spratly islands. The Japanese surrendered this island to the Chinese in 1946 , but the Philippine government say through "res nullius"(legal status of ownership) the islands belong to them. But, it is not just China who claims these islands. Singapore, Vietnam, Indonesia and Taiwan all lay claim to them as well. These islands are a 45 chain archipelago in the South China Sea. Just as an aside the Philippines are locked in a 2nd island battle with the nation of Malaysia for ownership of Sabah Island as well.
3)Thirdly, China and other South Asian nations have a strong trading and economic zone with the ASEAN group as well as ASEAN plus Three(APT). These along with the economic trade group APEC can utilize a new standard of trade and indeed introduce a new reserve currency amongst themselves by-passing the U.S. dollar. If that doesn't make us take notice to this, another group called BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India , China, South Africa) are also creating strong economic alliances to keep competitive with the U.S. dollar. The Persian Gulf states as well have also locked in the Drahma(monetary unit) and have created a very competitive alliance called CCASG that may see using "Petro-dollars" as an alternative to the U.S. greenback.
If you look at the world map and focus in on Asia. We see that China borders North Korea( a nuclear power), Russia(a nuclear power), off the coast of Japan, off the Coast of Taiwan. Its borders with Southeast Asia has been fraught with problems with its own Muslim population and often encounters disputes with Tibet . Its influences on Manchuria , Thailand, Vietnam, and the new country of Myanmar(Burma) is prevalent . China also borders another nuclear power besides Russia, both India and Pakistan have atomic weapons and have very hostile tensions with one another. What country is next door to Pakistan? it's Afghanistan. This country has cultural, religious, linguistic and economic ties with its neighbor. Afghanistan also shares a tenuous border with Iran, another potential nuclear power. This country borders Syria, northern Iraq which has ethnic Turks and the nation of Turkey . Can we see just where this possibly could be going in the near future? The dominoes are lined up to fall.
These alliances (the dominoes ) today are all in alignment very similarly to pre-World War 2 conditions and a closer analysis will show that the "New Deal" of FDR didn't necessarily get the U.S. out of the Great Depression, rather it was the industry of war . In the wake of World War One, many nations were not aware of other nations having "secret" alliances so that when a country declared war on just one country, it was really declaring war on six, seven or ten other nations without its knowledge until on the battle field. We saw the dominoes of entire continents fall due to this. Orwell spoke of a time when global policy would make it "necessary" to have perpetual wars. To pragmatist and war industrialist alike these wars will answer many questions simultaneously about the balance of power, demographics, and resources. Destabilization, displacement and change of leadership status of nations to usher in a new currency(value) are a part of that agenda. Today's issues will only remain the same ,the only difference is that the players will change. The Dominoes of war are still falling. The nations involved in the land grab, oil grab and minerals grab and water rights stretch, from the Pacific Realm all the way to the Middle East . Africa is continuously in a state of war somewhere. It means that we sit on the edge of global catastrophe unless these conflicts are settled in a timely matter, otherwise we will remain in an Orwellian world for time infinitum.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)

No comments:
Post a Comment